Working title (needs work): Trends in mean and extreme winds over the Southern Ocean from 1980-2020
Working target journal: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/23335084 ****
Author list: TJŠJ, CLQ, CJ, (SR?)
draft link: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1QZilJIJdrsypTKWo4CF9AnUXBL1mC2XCHAps0aDxN6o/edit?usp=sharing
paper github: https://github.com/tjarnikova/windEval
where-is-code-for-analysis spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1l6eOb7vrkYfw346YrsFLoMmHwImUDaYmRfWUpeq2DjA/edit?gid=0#gid=0
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Paper motivation/rough-gist abstract: Due to both climate change and the depletion of strat. ozone, the remarkably strong Southern Hemisphere winds have intensified and moved poleward in the latter half of the 20th century. Due to the relative sparseness of in-situ measurements over the Southern Ocean, reanalysis products are commonly used to estimate the wind distribution. However, major differences exist between how this distribution is represented in the wind reanalyses, which may have significant implications both for wind power applications and for the forcing of ocean models. Here we provide a comprehensive overview of wind velocity, distribution, jet position, and SAM strength for the most commonly used atmospheric reanalyses: ERA5, NCEP-NCAR, NCEP-DOE2, MERRA, and JRA3Q, as well as for the UKESM1 coupled earth system model. We then use UKESM1 scenarios with and without atmospheric ozone to quantify the attribution of wind speed changes to ozone depletion.
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For all figures, xx- add JRA