We currently have 2 end-members for each of 2 scenarios (historical ozone and no ozone), processing notes here: https://www.notion.so/processing-extra-end-members-150f73b11e7e8043ba41daafc8e9c047. A 3rd member got destroyed and may be re-processed.

2024-12-11: I double checked that the symlinked scenarios match those given by Steve: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1l6eOb7vrkYfw346YrsFLoMmHwImUDaYmRfWUpeq2DjA/edit?gid=2059326821#gid=2059326821, so everything has been processed the same way.

Scenario nomenclature

• 1A is historical ozone, SSP1, 1B is historical ozone, SSP3, 2A/2B the same, but for no-ozone-hole
• M2 means end member 2, so 1A is end member 1, 1AM2 is end member 2
• full desc table

CREF unless listed otherwise: windEval/plottingCode/UKESM3M-prelimchecks.ipynb

Spot check of raw data - yearly-averaged timeseries

(40S-60s, numbers look reasonable, but obviously interannual variability obscures the trends)

1. for a given scenario, climatologies of the different end members differ quite a bit, especially in the no-ozone case

(1980-2019 DJF, here colormap is the same for the left 2 columns)

maybe 40S to 60S trends don’t capture the full ozone-trend increases, when we look at 70s to 30s, it becomes a lot more legible…

trend seaborn plots in

plottingCode/UKESM3M-prelimchecks.ipynb